Exit polls 2024: Even before the forecasts were made, a controversy was started when Congress decided not to hold exit poll debates on broadcast networks.
Following the Election Commission-mandated embargo period, which ends at 630 p.m. today, the much expected exit poll projections for 2024 will begin to arrive. In addition to the Lok Sabha elections, Andhra Pradesh, Arunachal Pradesh, Odisha, and Sikkim all had assembly elections. Predictions derived from exit polls are statements made by voters as they leave the booth after casting their ballot. Exit polls are conducted by organizations such as Axis My India, Today’s Chanakya, IPSOS, CVoter, and CSDS.
2019 exit surveys: How reliable are they?
Predictions based on exit polls should never be taken at face value because errors can always occur. There are also plenty of examples from recent history where exit polls went wrong. Nonetheless, the exit poll forecasts in 2014 and 2019 accurately captured the national sentiment.
2019 saw an average prediction from exit polls placing the NDA at 306 and the UPA at 120. When the results were announced, the projection was not as high as expected because the BJP only got 303 seats while the NDA won 352. With 52 seats in the Congress, the then-UPA received 93 seats.
2014 exit surveys: How reliable were they?
The BJP-led NDA won a resounding victory in 2014, a fact that several exit polls failed to predict despite their expectation that the NDA would win. The only thing the NDA was going to miss was the enormous margin. Eight exit polls on average indicated that the NDA would win 283 seats while the UPA would win 105. The BJP held 282 seats and the NDA 336; the UPA received 60 seats and the Congress 44.
What’s different in 2024?
The NDA and the newly formed opposition INDIA will face off in the 2024 election, not the UPA and the NDA. Prime Minister Narendra Modi established an ambitious goal for the NDA, known as “400 paar,” wherein the BJP would win more than 370 seats on its own.
In order to prevent “speculation and slugfest for TRP,” the Congress already declared that it would not participate in exit poll discussions on television networks.
Kangana Ranaut, a BJP candidate, voted in the last round of the Lok Sabha election, expressing her belief that her party would win every seat in the state.
Actress and Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) candidate Kangana Ranaut voted on Saturday in the seventh phase of the Lok Sabha election, expressing confidence that her party will win all four of Himachal Pradesh’s seats. The Mandi-born BJP candidate, Ranaut, claimed that the state is seeing a full-blown “Modi wave.”
After casting her ballot, Kangana Ranaut made an appeal to voters to exercise their right to vote, saying, “I appeal to everyone to exercise their right to vote in this festival of democracy.” So much blood has been lost for us to be able to exercise this right.
“In Himachal Pradesh, the Modi wave is complete. In barely two months, our prime minister has delivered at least 80-90 interviews and led around 200 demonstrations,” she continued. “We are soldiers of PM Modi, and we will win all four seats in Himachal Pradesh,” declared the actor-turned-politician, projecting confidence in the BJP’s “400 paar” slogan for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.
Ranaut also took aim at the opposition for criticizing the two days that Prime Minister Narendra Modi spent at Kanniyakumari in meditation. “The Prime Minister is not a new convert to meditation,” stated Ranaut. He used to meditate even when he wasn’t a politician. These folks are now having issues with that as well.
As Kangana Ranaut makes her political debut, a high-profile electoral contest is taking place in Himachal Pradesh for the Mandi parliamentary seat. The son of former chief minister Virbhadra Singh, Congress candidate Vikramaditya Singh, is her opponent in the polls.
